Putin’s Ukraine invasion threat is more than a bluff — but not his preference | The Great Debate

Make no mistake: Putin’s preparations are not just a bluff to deter and obfuscate—it’s also his backup plan.

If Ukraine backs down on a siege of the rebel stronghold cities — or fails — we are still in the long game of intervention. That seems most likely, given the difficulties of the Ukrainian military engaging in street-to-street urban warfare.

But if the Ukrainian military does rout the separatists, invasion may be the only card Putin has left.

via Putin’s Ukraine invasion threat is more than a bluff — but not his preference | The Great Debate.

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